The intelligence assessments also indicate that Iran still has about 70% of its mobile missile launchers across the country and roughly 70% of its prewar missile stockpile.
That arsenal includes ballistic missiles capable of striking countries across the region, as well as a smaller supply of cruise missiles that can be used against shorter-range targets on land or at sea.
Military intelligence agencies also assessed, based on satellite imagery and other surveillance tools, that Iran has regained access to roughly 90% of its underground missile storage and launch facilities nationwide. Those facilities are now considered “partially or fully operational,” according to people familiar with the assessments cited by The Times.
The findings directly challenge months of public assurances from Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who have said Iran’s military was “decimated” and no longer posed a serious threat.
The White House, however, has rejected the report and continues to maintain that Iran’s military capabilities have been completely defeated. Trump also claimed that the U.S. sank 159 Iranian vessels during the conflict. While renewed military strikes have not been finalized, experts believe that any future operations would focus on Iran’s remaining munitions stockpiles. American officials have also stated that U.S. forces possess sufficient munitions for further action if necessary.
Meanwhile, activity in the Strait of Hormuz remains tense. Ships are reportedly going dark for extended periods — sometimes for days at a time — by ceasing to broadcast their locations. Maritime traffic through the strait has increased in recent days, while American officials say the blockade is beginning to have an impact, leaving Iran with limited capacity to store additional oil exports. Amid this uncertainty, The Fellowship and our supporters pray for decisive action that leads to the release of vessels in the Strait and helps secure a path toward peace.
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